$DOGE
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My @DeriveXYZ trading account is a pretty great example of "it's not how often you win, it's how much you win when you win". Barely better than a coinflip on win %, but massively asymmetric payoffs. My win rate on perps is closer to 70% but I've made more money on options than
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AI visual note: A trading dashboard shows a net profit of $13,522,030.51 after fees, achieved across 10,609 bets with a 51% win rate, 1.61 profit factor, and 3.10 Sharpe ratio, despite a maximum drawdown of -$3,845,584. The accompanying post notes how the account exemplifies that profitability comes from asymmetric payoffs rather than high win rates, with options trading outperforming the ~70% win rate perps strategy.